{"id":47554,"date":"2026-06-04T22:40:15","date_gmt":"2026-06-04T22:40:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bondahx.com\/index.php\/2026\/06\/04\/whats-fueling-an-ipo-rush-from-spacex-anthropic-and-openai\/"},"modified":"2026-06-04T22:40:15","modified_gmt":"2026-06-04T22:40:15","slug":"whats-fueling-an-ipo-rush-from-spacex-anthropic-and-openai","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bondahx.com\/index.php\/2026\/06\/04\/whats-fueling-an-ipo-rush-from-spacex-anthropic-and-openai\/","title":{"rendered":"What\u2019s fueling an IPO rush from SpaceX, Anthropic, and OpenAI"},"content":{"rendered":"


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Welcome to the era of the big three.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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We\u2019re not talking rappers here \u2014 although according to Kendrick Lamar, it\u2019s \u201cjust big me<\/a>\u201d \u2014 we\u2019re talking AI companies: Anthropic, SpaceX, and OpenAI.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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These three leading artificial intelligence companies are all expected to go public this year. Elon Musk\u2019s SpaceX, which recently acquired another Musk company<\/a>, xAi, is on track to open up to investors later this month. Anthropic, the company behind the chatbot Claude, just filed confidentially with the States Securities and Exchange Commission for its own initial public offering<\/a>. Reports say OpenAI could also go public<\/a> as soon as September. (Disclosure: Vox Media is one of several publishers that have signed partnership agreements with OpenAI. Our reporting remains editorially independent.)<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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SpaceX\u2019s IPO, when it happens, could be the largest in history<\/a> and mint Musk as the world\u2019s first trillionaire. With Anthropic and OpenAI, the combined value of AI IPOs could total<\/a> over $3 trillion.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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But it\u2019s not as simple as going public and raking in cash. \u201cThere\u2019s this race that\u2019s been going on between SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic,\u201d Liz Lopatto, a senior writer at The Verge said. \u201cThere\u2019s this fear that if you don\u2019t go public at the right time or you don\u2019t go public first, investors aren\u2019t going to wait for you.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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To understand why some of the world\u2019s richest men, at the helm of some of the world\u2019s richest companies, are now courting the public\u2019s money, Today, Explained<\/em> co-host Sean Rameswaram spoke with Lopatto.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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She\u2019s been deep in SpaceX\u2019s public filings<\/a> and has been covering the court drama<\/a> between Musk and OpenAI\u2019s Sam Altman. Her latest piece for the Verge is titled \u201cThe SpaceX IPO is great for Elon Musk and terrible for you<\/a>.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Sean and Lopatto chat about what each of the companies hope to gain from the public, why this moment could be like internet 1.0\u2019s dot-com bubble, and whether these companies chasing shareholder profits will be good for us.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Below is an excerpt of their conversation, edited for length and clarity. There\u2019s much more in the full podcast, so listen to Today, Explained<\/em> wherever you get podcasts, including Apple Podcasts<\/a>, Pandora<\/a>, and Spotify<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Why do [these companies] need to go public right now?<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Whoever goes public first is going to scoop up better investors or have an easier time convincing investors. That is fueling this rush toward the market. So that\u2019s thing one.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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But thing two is that AI is extremely expensive. And I think that\u2019s something that people often forget about because right now we\u2019re sort of in, like, the early days of Uber, where you\u2019re using this very expensive tool for free and then they\u2019re going to try to get you hooked on it so that you\u2019ll pay real prices later on.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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In order to get the money that you need for compute, to build all of these data centers, to do all of the things that you need to do in order to have these frontier models, that\u2019s just an incredibly capital-intensive business. One way to get capital is to go public.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Anthropic has had some better discipline than the other companies in terms of behaving like actual adults. They might actually tell us a little bit less before it happens than we\u2019ve heard from, for instance, SpaceX.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Tell me more about behaving like adults when it comes to IPOs, which feels like a very adult thing to do.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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There are sort of a lot of things that come into play with an IPO. And basically what you\u2019re doing is you are setting out what your company is, what the company\u2019s vision is, how you plan to make money, and what you\u2019re going to do with all the money that you\u2019re raising in the IPO. And for SpaceX, there\u2019s a bunch of nonsense about Mars in there that doesn\u2019t really feel real to me. There\u2019s nothing about the biological risks of going to Mars, for instance, and the risk factors, which, if that were a real thing, you\u2019d see it.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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One of the things that\u2019s been notable is that both Anthropic and OpenAI seem to have better businesses, based on what we know. Anthropic is actually about to make a profit. Anthropic in particular didn\u2019t make any images with its AI. It stuck to text and it focused specifically on programming. It\u2019s not a sexy business, it\u2019s enterprise software. But you don\u2019t have to be sexy to make money.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Just looking at the difference between like the flash we\u2019re seeing about, like, spreading the light of human consciousness<\/a> among the stars and actually making money, which is the point of a company. I would say that Anthropic seems like it\u2019s run by adults by comparison. And then I would put OpenAI somewhere in the middle.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Why? What is Open AI doing that isn\u2019t very adult-like behavior?<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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OpenAI as a business is really scattered. They created and shut down Sora, which was AI-generated videos. They have these AI image generators that have created a whole new level of headaches for them. They\u2019re embroiled in a number of lawsuits.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Sam Altman, the CEO, was running it effectively as a startup composed of little startups within it and was like, \u201cWell, we\u2019ll just see which one of them wins.\u201d And that\u2019s maybe not the best way to run a company. It\u2019s a fine way to run a portfolio, but a company is not a portfolio.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Liz, you\u2019re very tapped into this world out there in Silicon Valley and you were at the trial between Altman and Musk. It sounds like these companies are all being talked about in the same breath even though two of them are very specifically AI companies and one of them wants to colonize Mars. Why is that? Is it just because they all may IPO soon?<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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I think that\u2019s part of it. I also think there\u2019s been this investment thesis that frontier AI models are effectively going to be a boom on the scale of internet 1.0, if you remember 1999.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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This is sort of the moment where we\u2019re going to find out who\u2019s Google and who\u2019s Amazon and who\u2019s Pets.com, right? And so I think that\u2019s why people are talking about them in this way, because it\u2019s not just these three companies that are AI companies. Obviously Google has an AI arm that is very good. But then you have companies like Databricks, which you maybe haven\u2019t heard of.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Yeah. This is a perfectly fine company. It\u2019s got a business. But it\u2019s not in that conversation because I don\u2019t think people expect it to be one of the behemoths in the way that they\u2019re looking at these three as the potential behemoths of this generation of technology.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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This reminds me that when social media companies went public, they started prioritizing things like shareholder profit rather than safety. I think Facebook \u2014 Meta \u2014 is probably the most prominent example of this. <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Do we want the still mostly dudes holding our future in their hands to be beholden to market forces and profits above all else?<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Arguably they already are.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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This is one of the arguments that has been made about OpenAI: that the reason they\u2019ve had some of these issues around safety has been because they are motivated by chasing the market and trying to raise money. Because unlike social media, this is a very capital-intensive business.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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You need to be showing investors something. You need to be proving yourself out in a way that you didn\u2019t necessarily have to with social media right off the bat. So I think that\u2019s part of it. But I think that going public potentially makes that worse. The chatbot will try to keep you engaged. It will give you an answer and then it will ask a tag question. And that\u2019s an engagement tool that keeps you engaged with the AI.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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You see that also with some of the sycophantic behavior you see with these AI where they\u2019re like, \u201cWow, that\u2019s such a smart question. Gee, you\u2019re so bright.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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And is that really good for us? I don\u2019t think it is. But it does keep people involved, and it does keep people engaged with the AI, and if you need to be showing user numbers or otherwise showing metrics to investors, those are the ones you show.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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It seems almost silly to ask if being a publicly traded company could make these companies more accountable or even safer. But then again, if you think about Anthropic and their whole dustup with the Pentagon, without being publicly traded, they said, you know, you guys are crossing the red line and we have to reassess our relationship.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Do you think something about being publicly traded post-IPO could make a company like Anthropic or OpenAI a little bit more conservative in their developments and their technology?<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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To the degree that you can say, \u201cHey, like I was misled by this company as a shareholder because they told me there were these safety practices that actually were not in play and then take them to court\u201d \u2014 that is something that can be done, sure. Unless you\u2019re talking about SpaceX, which has a governance structure that effectively bars shareholder suits, unless you have a specific percentage of holding.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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So not SpaceX, but maybe Anthropic, maybe OpenAI have this additional measure of accountability where shareholder lawsuits can potentially move the needle.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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But most likely of all we just start to see a lot more ads.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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I think that\u2019s right. I think you also see prices go up for the enterprise products \u2014 and maybe for all of the other products as well.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n


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